The role of demographic change in explaining the growth of Australia's older migrant population living with dementia, 2016–2051

Abstract

Objective: To examine the demographic drivers contributing to the future growth in the population of older migrants in Australia living with dementia. Methods: Using birthplace-specific cohort-component projection models, we projected the number of older migrants living with dementia. ABS data on births, deaths, migration and birthplace were used, alongside Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW) estimates of dementia prevalence with birthplace dementia weights calculated from administrative data. Results: The number of older migrants living with dementia is projected to increase from about 134,423 in 2016 to 378,724 by 2051. Increases in populations with dementia varied considerab..